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Wind AlliesTier 1
at Grand Archive Store Championsips
decks
3
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
8-8-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.9%
avg ELO +5.6 per match
expected value
50.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1217
· median 1223
· range 1116–1311
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1116
Q1 1247
Q3 1418
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 59.5% | +5.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.5% | +15.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.5 |
| Fire Suited | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.5% | +23.2 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.